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Big tech earnings reports have put investors on quite the roller coaster. Alphabet , Microsoft and Tesla have all moved higher post earnings, while Meta and IBM had opposite reactions by dropping precipitously. Inside of this recent technology, I think it is time to add to a nearly forgotten Magnificent Seven laggard: Apple . Apple is down 11% year to date, and I want to add exposure in a zero-cost manner ahead of its earnings release next Thursday. Investors are anticipating a year-over-year decline in both earnings and revenue for this former tech favorite, but I believe this is already priced into the stock.
Organizations: Microsoft, Tesla, Meta, IBM, Apple, Big, mojo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig Tech repricing hasn't even started yet, says KKM's Jeff KilburgJeff KilKKMburg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to breakdown tech earnings, what's ahead for tech picks, and more.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg Jeff KilKKMburg Organizations: KKM Financial
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia pullback is a function of 'too much, too fast', says KKM's Jeff KilburgHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Tesla is the purest AI play out there, says Jeff Kilburg
  + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTesla is the purest AI play out there, says Jeff KilburgJeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO of KKM Financial, gives his expectations for Tesla's earnings report today.
Persons: Tesla, Jeff Kilburg Jeff Kilburg Organizations: KKM
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKeep an eye on how automakers are handling EV slowdown, says KKM's Jeff KilburgJeff Kilburg, CEO & CIO of KKM Financial, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to breakdown earnings expectations from Lockheed Martin, General Motors, and Philip Morris.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg Jeff Kilburg, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris Organizations: KKM, Lockheed, General Motors
I want to protect further downside in the broader U.S. equity market despite the fact that S & P 500 has had an acute drop of more than 5% off its recent 2024 highs. I do believe that we are still in a bull market, but the headwinds are strong in the current market conditions. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Lastly, markets are contending with corporate earnings season. Per my friends at Factset, the S & P 500's valuation on a forward 12-month P/E ratio is 20.6. DISCLOSURES: (Long this spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: Raphael Bostic Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Big Tech, Trust Locations: Israel, Iran, Factset
This trade seeks to take advantage of the current discount and the heightened volatility being applied to Intel. INTC SOXX 5Y mountain Intel, 5 years Earlier this week, Intel unveiled its latest artificial intelligence chip, called Gaudi 3. Intel is trying to penetrate and take market share from AI leader Nvidia, which possesses nearly 80% of the market share in the AI chip market. This trade seeks to capitalize on the increase in volatility as Intel dropped nearly 4% on the open. DISCLOSURES: (Long intel and this trade) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: Mike Tyson, YouTuber Jake Paul, Gaudi Organizations: Intel, AMD, Nvidia, intel Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLow VIX after CPI shows market complacency: KKM Financial's Jeff KilburgJeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to break down market reactions to CPI data, explain why Nvidia is 'defying gravity,' and more.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg Jeff Kilburg Organizations: KKM, Nvidia
Conversely, Kilburg is adding to positions that have lagged the market, such as industrial and health-care stocks. "Those are three names that I believe are blue chip, essential names to the U.S. economy," he said. UnitedHealth and other health-care stocks are also trading at a discount, Kilburg said, citing Johnson & Johnson as a potential winner. Buy cyclical names Bailey, formerly a health-care analyst at Legg Mason and Stifel Financial before joining FBB in 2015, expects a hotter-than-forecast inflation report on Wednesday would take stocks lower. The Johns Hopkins MBA also sees the larger, diversified banks as attractive in a climate of higher inflation and interest rates.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Kilburg, Mike Bailey, Bailey, payrolls, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, Legg Mason, Berkshire Hathaway, Johns Hopkins, UnitedHealth Organizations: KKM, FBB Capital Partners, Meta, Nvidia, Lockheed, Stifel, FBB, Treasury, Berkshire, Union Pacific, Old Dominion Freight Locations: U.S, McLennan, Progressive, Chevron
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. is going to see a reacceleration of inflation, says KKM's Jeff KilburgHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
The S & P 500 is up over 21% in the last five months, this parabolic move higher urges me to establish a hedge. I seek to protect profits and capitalize if the S & P 500 decides to reverse course and test the will of the bulls short-term. SPY 1Y mountain SPDR S & P 500 Trust (SPY) The S & P 500 is coming off a 10% gain for the first quarter, its best start to a year since 2019. However, stocks saw volatility return this Thursday as equities stumbled in an unusual trading session with a near 2% intraday bearish reversal in the SPDR S & P 500 ETF (SPY) . In the event the market moves higher, you have defined your risk in this spread and any long equity exposure you may have to the S & P 500 should offset this trade.
Organizations: Treasury Locations: U.S
Jeff Kilburg's Best Ideas for Q2 & Beyond
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJeff Kilburg's Best Ideas for Q2 & BeyondKKM Financial's Jeff Kilburg discusses why Tesla is his top stock pick for Q2, and what makes Micron an under-the-radar play.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg's, Jeff Kilburg, Tesla Organizations: Micron
KKM's Jeff Kilburg on GameStop: Sell the stock if you own it
  + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKKM's Jeff Kilburg on GameStop: Sell the stock if you own itJeff Kilburg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to trade Carnival and GameStop.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg Organizations: GameStop, KKM Financial, Carnival
Recent S&P price target boosts are unsettling, says Jeff Kilburg
  + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecent S&P price target boosts are unsettling, says Jeff KilburgJeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO of KKM Financial, discusses mega-cap tech stocks, the S&P 500, and his recent portfolio moves.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg Jeff Kilburg Organizations: KKM
However, I want to establish an insurance trade in the event chip stocks come up for a breather short-term or reverse some of this rally. SOXX .SPX 6M mountain iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) vs. the S & P 500 The continued euphoria and associated demand for artificial intelligence semiconductors has boosted several chip stocks such as Nvidia, Broadcom and AMD. These three stocks alone are collectively up 150% on a one year look back and also make up nearly 25% of iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) . DISCLOSURES: (Long SOXX, Long this put spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Long Organizations: Federal Reserve, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, iShares Semiconductor Locations: U.S
Investors looking for artificial intelligence exposure outside of Nvidia directly were rewarded in Micron (MU) , up 70% in one year. I'll discuss a smart options trade from here following Micron's stock run and ahead of its earnings next week. As I believe there will be a lot of volatility in the months ahead inside of the high-flying artificial intelligence theme, I want to clearly define my risk in this bullish view I am expressing below. Although this would be a new all-time high for Micron, the narrative of "high tide, lifts all boats" has been applicable to anything and everything associated with artificial intelligence. DISCLOSURES: (Kilburg is long this call spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Organizations: Nvidia, Micron, Citi, MU
The magnitude of Nvidia's run is simply mind boggling, with the stock adding $1 trillion in market value in about two months. Trying to short this parabolic stock is what we used to call in the trading pits of Chicago, a "widowmaker." However, I believe that once Nvidia (NVDA) hits $1,000 it might actually be due to take a breather. Overbought territory Typically, an investor will buy a put if they think a stock is overbought or are concerned it will fall. That being said, Nvidia was trading at the same RSI level of 86 in early February while trading at $693, nearly $300 ago.
Persons: NVDA, Long Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft Locations: Chicago, Downside
KKM's Jeff Kilburg: Buy CrowdStrike
  + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKKM's Jeff Kilburg: Buy CrowdStrikeJeff Kilburg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to trade Nordstrom, CrowdStrike, and JD.Com.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Nordstrom, CrowdStrike Organizations: KKM Financial
I remain optimistic on markets during this election year of 2024, but here is a short-term trade strategy that profits if volatility returns and profit taking becomes a theme during the last month of the first quarter. The S & P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq each notched their best February returns since 2015, while the Dow had its best February since 2021. This is noteworthy as historically there has been "seasonal" weakness associated with February returns, due to portfolio repositioning and earnings season disappointments. With 97% of S & P 500 companies reporting actual results, investors have seen 73% of these firms exceed EPS estimates while the S & P 500 reported growth of 4.0%, according to FactSet. It is more about the opportunity I see at these overbought levels as the SPDR S & P 500 ETF (SPY) is trading at RSI levels of 76.
Persons: Dow, Kilburg Organizations: Nasdaq
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChance of recession 'vanishingly low,' says Wells Fargo's Michael SchumacherJeff Kilburg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, and Michael Schumacher, Wells Fargo head of macro strategy, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the economy, the timeline of potential rate cuts, and more.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Michael Schumacher Jeff Kilburg, Michael Schumacher, Wells Organizations: KKM Financial Locations: Wells Fargo
Nvidia continues to surge and vaulted above a $2 trillion market cap in the wake of yet another blockbuster earrings report. The leading artificial intelligence global play has added over $1 trillion in market cap in just the last four months. When buying a put spread — similar to buying an insurance policy — an investor will be laying out capital in order to protect downside risk. Buying a Nvidia put spread: Bought the 3/15 (Friday) expiration March $750 call for $10. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Organizations: Nvidia Locations: NVDA
play in 2023 (and maybe 2024) is gearing up to report earnings next week on Wednesday. I am long Nvidia (NVDA) , but even if I was not, this is an opportunity to potentially profit from an earnings disappointment as the stock seems to be overextended above $700. The trade Perspective: This is a very short-term view as I do believe that Nvidia's trajectory is still up and towards the right. This risk reversal pairs well with being long NVDA. DISCLOSURES: ( Long Nvidia, short the $750/$675 risk reversal) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Organizations: Nvidia, U.S ., Nasdaq
KKM Financial's Jeff Kilburg: Time to own more Tesla
  + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKKM Financial's Jeff Kilburg: Time to own more TeslaJeff Kilburg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to position Nvidia and Tesla, which company is better equipped for AI development, and more.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg Organizations: KKM Financial, Nvidia, Tesla
Of course, the volatility outlook can change on a dime but, the VIX under 13 reveals that option traders are not worried about the S & P 500 any time soon. The Trade I want to participate in more upside for the S & P 500 anticipating 5,100 to trade before 4,900. I will define my risk as the S & P 500 just popped into overbought territory when viewed through a RSI (Relative Strength Index) perspective. To reduce the cost of simply being long an at-the-money SPDR S & P 500 Trust call, I want to buy a call spread. This is calculated by adding the $4.30 (net cost) of the spread to the lower strike price of this call spread, $500.
Organizations: U.S ., JPMorgan
KKM's Jeff Kilburg rates Alibaba a buy, here's why
  + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKKM's Jeff Kilburg rates Alibaba a buy, here's whyJeff Kilburg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to trade Alibaba, Amgen and Uber.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Uber Organizations: KKM Financial
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